Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 100-119 tweets during the specified period.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against the likelihood of Musk tweeting within the specified range. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low chance of the event occurring.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Musk tweeting 100-119 times.
• 2 The probability estimates from both the market and AI are closely aligned.
• 3 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 4 High confidence level indicates strong conviction in the NO outcome.
• 5 The time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.