Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 100-119 tweets in the specified period.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post between 100 and 119 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, which also shows a negligible chance of YES. The high confidence level suggests that the market is accurately priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors NO with 100% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% NO probability.
• 3 High confidence level of 95 indicates strong market conviction.
• 4 Low liquidity may limit the ability to influence market prices.
• 5 Historical tweeting patterns suggest Musk may not reach this tweet volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.