Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Market strongly favors NO on Musk posting 100-119 tweets in early April 2026.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Elon Musk posting between 100 and 119 tweets during the specified period, with a consensus of 99.75% for NO. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a strong belief that Musk will not reach this tweet count.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI predictions is notable.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 243 hours, adding urgency to the market.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.