Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 1000-1039 times in April 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Elon Musk will not post between 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026, with a NO probability of 97.25%. The AI model also supports this view, suggesting a consensus that such a volume of tweets is unlikely within the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk suggest lower engagement rates.
• 3 Market probability aligns closely with AI predictions, indicating stability.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment or events.
• 5 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.