Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026?

The market strongly favors that Elon Musk will not post 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood (98.9%) that Elon Musk will not reach 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a lower probability of 4.6% for a YES outcome, suggesting a consensus against the likelihood of such a high tweet volume.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong NO sentiment at 98.9%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low expectation for high tweet volume.
• 3 Edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced with minimal mispricing risk.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry of 514 hours allows for potential shifts in sentiment or events impacting tweet frequency.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.