Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 1120-1159 times in April 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards NO, with a probability of 95.15%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 8.35%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 95.15%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher likelihood for YES at 8.35%.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at 1211 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.