Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

The market favors fewer than 115 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.

With a market probability of 82.5% for NO, there is a strong sentiment against Musk posting 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting a consensus on lower tweet activity during this period.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors fewer tweets from Musk.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests a slight underestimation of tweet activity.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns may indicate lower activity during this timeframe.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 73 hours remaining until the expiry.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 16 12:00 PM ET to March 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.