Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 115-139 times from March 26-28, 2026.

The market shows a strong preference for the NO outcome, with a probability of 90.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of Musk reaching the specified tweet count during the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns suggest lower activity during this period.
• 3 Market probability aligns closely with Pulse AI's assessment.
• 4 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with limited volatility.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with 49 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 26 12:00 PM ET to March 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.