Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Market favors fewer tweets from Elon Musk between March 9-11, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a higher probability for Elon Musk to post fewer than 115 tweets during the specified period, with a market probability of 58.5% for the NO outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a lower likelihood of reaching the 115-139 tweet range.

• 1 Current market probability favors fewer tweets from Musk.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a stronger NO sentiment.
• 3 Market edge indicates fair pricing with minimal bias.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 9 12:00 PM ET to March 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.