Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 1160-1199 times in April 2026.

The market shows a strong inclination towards the NO outcome, with a 95.5% probability against the YES option. The Pulse AI also supports this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of Musk reaching the specified tweet count within the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests the market is well-balanced and fairly priced.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk may indicate lower tweet frequency.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.