Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?

Low probability for Musk tweeting 1160-1199 times in March 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Elon Musk posting between 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026, with a market probability of only 3.30% for 'YES'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of this outcome occurring.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Market probability is low, suggesting limited expectations for high tweet volume.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk may not support such high tweet counts.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, with no major fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.