Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 120-139 times in the specified period.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, with a 99% probability for NO, suggesting a strong consensus against the likelihood of this event occurring.

• 1 Market probability shows a complete consensus on NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of YES.
• 3 High confidence level of 95/100 suggests strong conviction in the NO outcome.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates that the market is fairly priced with no apparent mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but current data suggests stability in predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.