Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 120-139 tweets during the specified period.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of Elon Musk posting between 120-139 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects a strong consensus against this outcome, suggesting a high level of confidence in the prediction that he will not reach this tweet count.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus with 100% probability on NO.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment at 99% NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 95/100, indicating strong conviction in the prediction.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced with little room for mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.