Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in March 2026?

Market predicts Elon Musk will not tweet 120-139 times in March 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Elon Musk posting 120-139 tweets in March 2026, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating low expectations for such tweet volume, suggesting that the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 98% for 'NO'.
• 3 The edge of 2 indicates the market is likely fairly priced.
• 4 High confidence level of 90 suggests strong conviction in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 554 hours, adding urgency to the market.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.