Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Market indicates a low likelihood of Musk tweeting 1320-1359 times in March 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong preference for the 'NO' outcome, with a probability of 92.75%. This suggests that participants believe it is unlikely for Elon Musk to reach the specified tweet count within the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a consensus against Musk tweeting extensively.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns may influence predictions for future activity.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant interest.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.