Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Low probability for Musk posting 140-159 tweets from March 13 to 20, 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Elon Musk posting 140-159 tweets during the specified period, with a 99.35% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' with 99.35% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood for 'YES' at 2.65%.
• 3 The edge of 2 indicates the market is likely fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 75 suggests moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 219 hours, adding urgency to the market.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 13 12:00 PM ET to March 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.