Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 140-159 tweets during the specified period.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post between 140 and 159 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, which suggests a very low likelihood of this outcome. The high confidence level of 95/100 indicates strong consensus among participants regarding this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Musk posting 140-159 tweets.
• 2 The market probability suggests strong confidence in the NO outcome.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk may support the current predictions.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, indicating consistent participant engagement.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, which could affect future sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.