Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Elon Musk will not post 140-159 tweets during the specified period.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post between 140-159 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of the YES outcome. This consensus indicates a strong belief that Musk's tweeting activity will fall outside this range during the specified timeframe.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong NO sentiment at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment with 99% for NO.
• 3 High confidence level of 95 suggests strong market conviction.
• 4 Low liquidity may limit potential shifts in market dynamics.
• 5 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk suggest lower activity during this period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.