Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Low likelihood of Musk posting 140-159 tweets in the specified timeframe.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Elon Musk posting 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026, with a 99.35% probability for 'NO.' This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, indicating a low expectation for such tweet volume during this period.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability of 0.65% suggests minimal expectation for high tweet volume.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 4 The edge of 2 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.