Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 160-179 tweets during the specified period.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of Elon Musk posting between 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 1% probability for YES and a 99% probability for NO, suggesting a strong consensus against the likelihood of this outcome. The edge of 1 indicates that the market is fairly priced with high confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus with 100% probability for NO.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 High confidence level of 95/100 suggests strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 4 Edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced without significant misalignment.
• 5 No time to expiry is noted, but current sentiment is firmly against the YES outcome.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.