Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Market strongly favors fewer than 160 tweets from Musk during the specified period.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of Elon Musk posting fewer than 160 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026, with a consensus leaning towards the NO outcome. The market probability stands at 99.25% for NO, suggesting a strong belief that his tweeting activity will be limited during this timeframe.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors fewer than 160 tweets.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for YES at 2.75%.
• 3 Market confidence is relatively high at 75 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is 234 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.