Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 1600-1679 times in April 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Elon Musk will not post between 1600 and 1679 tweets in April 2026, with a market probability of 95.5% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge.

• 1 Market probability favors 'NO' significantly at 95.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 92%.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 1211 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Edge of 3.5 suggests the market is relatively well-priced.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.