Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 1760-1839 times in April 2026.

The market indicates a strong belief that Elon Musk will not post between 1760 and 1839 tweets in April 2026, with a 91.1% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a consensus that such a high volume of tweets is unlikely.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' significantly.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.