Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Market predicts Elon Musk will not post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the likelihood of Elon Musk posting between 180-199 tweets during the specified week, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI corroborates this view with a 99% probability for 'NO', indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability of 0% for 'YES' suggests strong market consensus.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk may inform future predictions.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the market's pricing.
• 5 The time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to long-term predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.