Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 180-199 times in the specified week.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Elon Musk posting 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026, with a 97.4% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 97.4%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 4.6%.
• 3 The edge of 2 indicates the market is likely fairly priced.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 247 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Confidence level of 75/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.