Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Market predicts Elon Musk will not tweet 190-214 times from March 12-14, 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Elon Musk tweeting 190-214 times during the specified period, with a 98.95% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of such high tweet volume, indicating that the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a low tweet count.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk suggest lower frequency.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with a clear consensus.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 77 hours until expiry.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 12 12:00 PM ET to March 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.