Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 190-214 times in mid-March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 99% probability that Elon Musk will not post between 190 and 214 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, suggesting a consensus that such tweet volume is unlikely within the specified timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low probability of YES at 4.5%.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 58 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 14 12:00 PM ET to March 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.