Will Elon Musk post 20-29 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?

Low probability for Musk to post 20-29 tweets in the given timeframe.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Elon Musk posting 20-29 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026, with a probability of only 0.15% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is low, suggesting limited expectations for high tweet volume.
• 3 Historical behavior of Musk's tweeting patterns may support the NO stance.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, with a clear consensus among participants.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal, with only 8 hours until the market closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 10 12:00 PM ET to March 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.