Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Elon Musk will not post 20-39 tweets during the specified period.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post 20-39 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of him reaching that tweet count. This consensus indicates a strong belief that Musk's tweeting behavior will not align with the specified range during this timeframe.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against Musk tweeting 20-39 times.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment with minimal divergence.
• 3 High confidence level (95/100) suggests strong belief in the current prediction.
• 4 Edge of 1 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 No time pressure noted, allowing for stable sentiment until the expiry date.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.