Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Elon Musk will not post 20-39 tweets during the specified week.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, there is a clear consensus that Elon Musk will not tweet within the specified range. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a strong confidence in this outcome, with a high confidence score of 90/100.

• 1 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly against Musk tweeting in the specified range.
• 2 Market pricing indicates a strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 3 The confidence level of 90/100 reflects high certainty among participants.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 The edge of 2 suggests the market is well-aligned with the AI probability.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.