Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Market strongly favors NO on Musk posting 215-239 tweets in March 2026.

The prediction market shows a dominant probability of 99.75% for NO, indicating a strong belief that Elon Musk will not post within the specified tweet range during the given dates. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a lower probability of YES at 3.75%, suggesting that the market is well-aligned with AI insights. The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in this assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO with minimal support for YES.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a consensus against Musk tweeting in the specified range.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns may indicate lower activity during this timeframe.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 71 hours until expiry, allowing for potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 12 12:00 PM ET to March 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.