Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 220-239 times from March 27 to April 3, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Elon Musk posting 220-239 tweets during the specified period, with a NO probability of 94.95%. Both the market and AI predictions align closely, suggesting that the current sentiment is stable and the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probabilities from the market and AI are closely aligned.
• 3 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 236 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.