Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 220-239 tweets in the specified period.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post between 220 and 239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting a strong consensus against this outcome. The high confidence level of 95/100 indicates that participants are very certain about this prediction.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief that Musk will tweet less than 220 times.
• 2 Pulse AI's prediction closely mirrors market sentiment, indicating reliability.
• 3 High confidence score suggests low likelihood of unexpected outcomes.
• 4 No recent events indicate a shift in Musk's tweeting habits.
• 5 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current probability assessments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.