Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 220-239 times in March 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus against Elon Musk posting 220-239 tweets in March 2026, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI model also reflects a low likelihood of this outcome, suggesting that the market is fairly priced given the current sentiment and confidence levels.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against the specified tweet range.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slight chance for YES, but overall confidence is low.
• 3 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 4 Current market pricing suggests no immediate catalysts for change.
• 5 High confidence level (90/100) reinforces the stability of the NO position.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.