Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 240+ tweets in March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Elon Musk posting 240 or more tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026, with a consensus of 99.85% for NO. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a significantly low likelihood of such activity occurring within the specified timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns suggest Musk rarely reaches such high tweet counts in short periods.
• 3 Market probability aligns closely with Pulse AI's assessment.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, indicating confidence in the current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 19 12:00 PM ET to March 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.