Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 260-279 times from March 13 to March 20, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Elon Musk will not post between 260 and 279 tweets during the specified period, with a NO probability of 93.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a consensus around lower tweet activity. With a confidence level of 75/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns suggest lower activity than the proposed range.
• 3 Market probability aligns closely with Pulse AI's assessment.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 13 12:00 PM ET to March 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.