Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 260-279 times in early March 2026.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post 260-279 tweets during the specified period. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a minimal chance of YES at 1%. The confidence level of 95/100 indicates strong certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market probability for NO is at 100%, indicating strong consensus.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a very low chance of YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 95/100, reflecting strong market belief.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced with little room for mispricing.
• 5 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk may support the current NO sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.