Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Low probability for Musk to post 320-339 tweets in the specified timeframe.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards the NO outcome, with 89.5% probability against the YES option at 10.5%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a consensus that Musk is unlikely to tweet within the specified range during the given period.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a well-balanced market pricing.
• 3 Musk's tweeting habits historically vary, impacting predictions.
• 4 Market confidence is moderate at 75/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 312 hours, adding urgency.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.