Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Low probability for Musk to post 320-339 tweets in the specified week.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards the NO outcome, with a probability of 90.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of Musk reaching the tweet count in question. Given the current probabilities and confidence levels, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability favors NO outcome significantly.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low tweet activity.
• 3 Confidence level of 75 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 242 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 The edge of 2 indicates the market is fairly priced with little room for mispricing.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.