Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Market predicts Elon Musk will not post 340-359 tweets in the specified period.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Elon Musk posting 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026, with a probability of 90.5% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of reaching the specified tweet count during this timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a low tweet count from Musk.
• 2 The probability gap suggests the market is efficiently priced.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in Musk's tweeting behavior.
• 5 Historical tweeting patterns may influence future expectations.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 13 12:00 PM ET to March 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.