Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Low probability for Musk to post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Elon Musk will not post between 360 and 379 tweets during the specified week, with a NO probability of 91.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability. Given the current market edge of 2, the pricing appears to reflect a balanced assessment of the situation.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a consensus against high tweet volume.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk may influence predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with reasonable trading volume.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate, with 209 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 13 12:00 PM ET to March 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.