Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 360-379 tweets in the specified period.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, the consensus is that Elon Musk will not reach the tweet count of 360-379 from March 3 to March 10, 2026. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a very low likelihood of the YES outcome. The confidence level of 95/100 suggests strong conviction in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Musk reaching the tweet count.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns suggest lower engagement during this timeframe.
• 3 Liquidity in this market appears stable with clear consensus.
• 4 The time frame for this prediction is relatively distant, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.