Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Low probability for Musk to tweet 360-379 times in the specified week.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Elon Musk will not post between 360 and 379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026, with a NO probability of 92.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a slightly higher YES probability of 9.5%, suggesting that while there is some uncertainty, the consensus leans heavily towards fewer tweets than the specified range.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong NO sentiment at 92.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, indicating low expectations for high tweet volume.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 75/100, suggesting some uncertainty remains.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 242 hours, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 The edge of 2 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.