Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Low probability of Musk posting 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Elon Musk will not post between 380 and 399 tweets during the specified period, with a NO probability of 93.5%. The market appears fairly priced, as the Pulse AI also suggests a high NO probability of 91.5%. This consensus reflects a cautious sentiment regarding Musk's tweeting frequency in that timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap indicates confidence in the NO position.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns suggest lower activity during this period.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure of 210 hours may influence last-minute sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 13 12:00 PM ET to March 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.