Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Market predicts Elon Musk will not post 40-59 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that Elon Musk will not post between 40 to 59 tweets during the specified period, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI corroborates this view with a slight chance for 'YES', indicating a low likelihood of Musk's tweeting activity reaching that range.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' with 100% probability.
• 2 The Pulse AI suggests a minimal chance for 'YES' at 1%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 4 High confidence level of 95/100 indicates strong consensus.
• 5 No time to expiry is noted, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.