Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 40-59 tweets during the specified period.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post between 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of the YES outcome. Overall, the market appears to be fairly priced with high confidence in the NO prediction.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 High confidence level of 95/100 indicates strong consensus.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Historical patterns of Musk's tweeting behavior may influence future predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.