Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 40-64 times in March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post 40-64 tweets between March 9 and March 11, 2026. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting a strong consensus against the likelihood of such activity. The market appears to be fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against Musk tweeting frequently.
• 2 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly negative regarding tweet volume.
• 3 Historical behavior of Musk may influence future tweet patterns.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 9 12:00 PM ET to March 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.