Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 50-59 tweets during the specified period.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.4% for the NO outcome, indicating a strong consensus against Musk posting 50-59 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 95.9% probability for NO, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome with 99.4% probability.
• 2 Market confidence is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 3 The AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating consensus.
• 4 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced with limited room for mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts in probability.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 10 12:00 PM ET to March 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.