Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Market strongly favors fewer than 560 tweets from Musk in late March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.65%) that Elon Musk will post fewer than 560 tweets during the specified period. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of reaching the 560-579 tweet range, with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a lower tweet count from Musk.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a consensus on Musk's tweeting habits.
• 3 Historical data may support a trend of lower tweet volumes during similar periods.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 242 hours until the market closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.