Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

The market overwhelmingly predicts Elon Musk will not tweet 60-79 times during the specified period.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, participants strongly believe Musk will not reach the tweet count of 60-79 from March 17 to March 24, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, showing a minimal chance of YES at 1%. The high confidence level indicates a strong consensus among market participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment is firmly against Musk tweeting 60-79 times.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 3 High confidence level suggests strong agreement among participants.
• 4 Historical tweeting patterns may support the current predictions.
• 5 No time pressure is indicated, allowing for stable sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.